Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Why Injuries Are EVERYTHING In the NBA

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So I bought the NBA League Pass last week (already one of the smartest things I've ever done) and I was watching a Golden State Warriors game with their local broadcasters, when one of their comments just jolted me. 

At various junctures throughout the game, they mentioned the absence of G/F Andre Iguodala (hamstring) and how it was affecting the overall flow of the Warriors. Then Bob Fitzgerald (play-by-play man) said:

"I know Iggy is extremely important to the team, but at some point, other guys have to step up and show some accountability."

Of course that's a very generic and mostly fair statement, but the problem is that "step up and show some accountability" is never going to become "step up and contribute as much as Iggy did before the injury." 

And that's because injuries to star players derail seasons. Plain and simple. Some players are so important to a team that they cannot be replaced, therefore the team's hopes are crushed. In this post I'd like to take a look at some of the key injured players (current or recently returned) around the league, and how their absence has/had their respective teams spiraling out of control.

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Russell Westbrook, PG, Oklahoma City Thunder:  This one's easy, isn't it? When Westbrook went down in the postseason (knee), the Thunder went from a legitimate championship contender to getting bounced by the Grizzlies, who could barely generate any offense at all. The Grizzlies couldn't contain Kevin Durant even without Westbrook's presence, which leads me to believe that OKC would have run away with that series had Russell been out there.

That logic follows through to this season, where the Thunder looked average without Westbrook in the early going and now, with him, they're 20-4 and dominating the league. I think Westbrook is the third best player in the NBA, behind LeBron James and Durant.

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Deron Williams, PG, Brooklyn Nets:  I can't really describe how frustrated I was when people kept asking me, "What's wrong with the Nets? What's wrong with the Nets?" when they were struggling mightily a few weeks back.

Well, let's see...maybe the problem was that D-Will, their versatile point guard who controls the pace and tempo of the entire team and holds the Nets' long-term fate in his hands, was injured (ankle) and replaced in the lineup by Shaun Livingston, the worst perimeter-shooting point guard in the NBA. 

And that seemed to be it, as the Nets have played extremely well since D-Will's return to the lineup, including quality victories over the Clippers and Celtics, and an absolute blow out of the stumbling 76ers. I fully expect the Nets to finish third in the Eastern Conference, provided D-Will and Brook Lopez remain healthy. 

D-Will has Joe Johnson (10 threes last outing), Andray Blatche, Mirza Teletovic and Alan Anderson in a nice collective rhythm right now, with Paul Pierce controlling the offense during Williams' breaks. It's safe to say that Jason Kidd is officially off the hot seat.

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Rajon Rondo, PG, Boston Celtics:  Led by outstanding rookie head coach Brad Stevens, the Celtics have been a nice story in the early going. Jeff Green is probably Boston's de facto top dog right now, but the Celtics' surprising competitiveness is largely a team effort. Avery Bradley, Brandon Bass, Jordan Crawford, Jared Sullinger, Vito Faverani, Kelly Olynyk, Kris Humphries and Gerald Wallace have all chipped in in different capacities.

However, the Celtics cannot reach their full potential without their star player and franchise point guard, Rajon Rondo, who has been out the entire season (ACL surgery). Bradley has been an admirable fill-in for Rajon, but he's not really a point guard. Bradley is a tenacious defender, but offensively he's more of a catch-and-shoot player than off-the-dribble playmaker for his teammates. Boston needs Rondo's facilitation if they want to contend for a middle seed in the East.

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Derrick Rose, PG, Chicago Bulls:  We all know the story at this point -- Derrick Rose is out for the season...again. Rather than re-hash the demoralizing injury situation, I'll just state the obvious:

The Bulls' offense is a joke without him. They are screwed. I knew they should have retained Nate Robinson (just in case) and well, here we are. The Bulls simply cannot contend without Rose. It's another lost season. And I predicted Bulls over Thunder in the Finals...I suck.

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Danilo Gallinari, SF, Denver Nuggets:  Under rookie head coach Brian Shaw, the Nuggets have done a decent job fighting for position in the loaded Western Conference. For the most part, they have protected their home court and won the games they should have (with the exception of that ugly home loss to the lowly Jazz). 

But it's overtly clear that this isn't the explosive offense we've seen in recent years, due in large part to the absence of Gallo (knee) at small forward. Ty Lawson facilitates for Denver and Wilson Chandler, JJ Hickson, Randy Foye, Nate Robinson and Jordan Hamilton pitch in offensively, but there's no consistency to Shaw's offense. The Nuggets need Gallo's consistent 16-22 points per game on the fastbreak and in the halfcourt. They cannot hang with the Thunder, Blazers, Spurs, Rockets, Clippers or Warriors without him.

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JJ Redick, SG, Los Angeles Clippers:  After a rough opening night against the city-rival Lakers, Doc Rivers' Clippers settled into a nice early season groove. Doc was adamant about having Redick in Los Angeles with him, and JJ was definitely paying dividends until he tore ligaments in his shooting hand. As a result, the Clippers offense has been choppy -- showing up on some evenings and disappearing on others. CP3 needs JJ's floor spacing, cutting and shooting off screens. The Clippers are not a top five team in the West without Redick.

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Marc Gasol, C, Memphis Grizzlies:  So I'm watching NBA TV last night and Ernie Johnson and Chris Webber keep saying things like, "What's wrong with Memphis this season? Why are they struggling so much?" Hmm...well...here we go again. 

Memphis was competing in the West until Gasol, the reigning Defensive Player of the Year, went down (knee). Alongside excellent point guard Mike Conley, Gasol is the most valuable two-way player on the Grizzlies. He controls the paint defensively and is an all-around contributor to Memphis' offense. They stink right now because Kosta Koufos is starting in his place. Not exactly the same caliber of player. You can't lose a guy like Marc Gasol in the West, and expect to compete at a high level.

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Anthony Davis, PF/C, New Orleans Pelicans:  One of the most dynamic young players in the NBA, Davis had the Pelicans looking like a formidable team before going down (broken hand). With Jrue Holiday, Eric Gordon and Ryan Anderson playing good ball, the Pelicans could be a 5 or 6 seed if completely healthy. However, the Davis injury has likely placed them in too deep a hole. They will probably miss the playoffs this season, unless they somehow scratch and claw for the 8-seed. If Davis can stay healthy in the future, this could be a very solid all-around team.

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Tyson Chandler, C, New York Knicks:  Yes, Mike Woodson is one of the worst head coaches in the NBA. Yes, Carmelo Anthony needs some assistance on the offensive side of the floor. Yes, JR Smith has been an absolute disaster since last postseason. 

All of these things are true. Nevertheless, the MAIN reason for the Knicks' struggles is the absence of their best leader, defender and rebounder, Mr. Chandler. Case in point...did you see the end of their last loss to the Wizards? Bradley Beal blew by Beno Udrih and who was there to help save the game defensively?

No one. 

Critics were complaining about Melo, saying he should have rotated over to the baseline -- and that's not entirely untrue -- but Melo is not a center! That shouldn't be his responsibility. Woodson should have had a true center on the floor, but that's a different story for a different day. Point is, the Knicks can't make noise in the East without Chandler -- they aren't that good! Critics should tone down the complaining. This isn't a championship-caliber team, even at full strength. 

HONORABLE MENTION

Michael Carter-Williams, G, Philadelphia 76ers:  Without this phenom, Philly has gone from one of the East's pleasant surprises to one of the absolute worst teams in the NBA. 

Larry Sanders, C, Milwaukee Bucks:  The Bucks are a joke without his athleticism, shotblocking and general defensive impact. They aren't really that good with him, either. 

That about wraps it up. Feel free to e-mail or comment. 

Saturday, December 7, 2013

Looking Ahead to the 2014 Mets: Is Curtis Granderson Really the Solution?

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Curtis Granderson is a good guy. Probably one of the nicest guys in baseball, and perhaps in all of professional sports. So what's the bad news about Sandy Alderson signing him to a four-year, $60 million contract?

Well, he's just not that great of a ballplayer. 

"Grandy" is currently 32 years old, and past his prime as a baserunner. In the last four seasons, he's stolen over 20 bases only once (25 in 2011 with the Yankees) and has just 18 in his last 221 games. Defensively, his range is obviously not what it used to be in his days as a Detroit Tiger, and his arm strength has always been well below average. 

But the Mets didn't sign him for his baserunning or defense, you say?

I suppose there is some merit to that, but it's not like Granderson is an exceptional offensive performer. Here are his strikeout totals from 2006-2012: 174 (most in the AL), 141, 111, 141, 116, 169 and 195. Notice the alarming jump from 2010 to 2012. He also struck out 16 times in 30 at bats in the 2012 postseason. 

Sixteen strikeouts in 30 at bats. Sure it's a small sample size, but if that doesn't concern you as a Mets fan, I don't know what will. I'm a Mets fan, and it sure as hell concerns me. So what's the good news, if any?

Well, he's definitely better than what we had in the outfield. Grandy's home run production has increased during the second half of his major league career, crushing 30, 24, 41 and 43 from 2009 to 2012. Hopefully his offensive production with the Mets will be assisted by the presence of David Wright and...um...I don't really know who else. 

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Let's take a look at our projected lineup as of December 7, 2013:

1. Eric Young-LF
2. Daniel Murphy-2B
3. David Wright-3B
4. Curtis Granderson-RF
5. Lucas Duda-1B
6. Chris Young-CF
7. Travis d'Arnaud-C
8. Ruben Tejada-SS

I mean, it's not the worst thing I've ever seen, but it doesn't exactly get me excited about our offensive possibilities for the 2014 season. There are also other factors to consider:

*Eric Young may end up playing second base because Alderson is open to trading Murphy. 

*Alderson says Chris Young is competing with Juan Lagares for the starting job in center field.

*Ike Davis isn't gone yet. I suppose, if he doesn't get traded, that he will have the opportunity to beat out Duda. Then there's also Josh Satin, who is a better pure hitter than both Duda and Ike. I don't really know where he fits in. 

*Just my opinion...I think we'd be better off with EY at second and Murphy at first. I don't like Duda or Ike. Then we could play Grandy, Young and Lagares in the outfield or sign one more major league ready outfielder to play alongside Chris Young and Grandy. 

*3B Wilmer Flores and OF Matt den Dekker are highly-regarded organizational pieces. We'll have to wait and see what their roles will be, provided they make the big league club out of spring training. 

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On to the pitching staff...

SP1-Jon Niese
SP2-Dillon Gee
SP3-Zack Wheeler
SP4-Jenrry Mejia
SP5-Carlos Torres

Mejia should squeak in there if healthy, but I hope Torres ends up in the bullpen by the time the regular season starts. There are still a number of intriguing starting pitchers available via free agency, including Bartolo Colon, Matt Garza, Bronson Arroyo, Ervin Santana, A.J. Burnett (considering retirement), Erik Bedard, Chris Capuano, Gavin Floyd, Roy Halladay, Jason Hammel, Paul Maholm and Clayton Richard

I would take any one of those guys over Torres as a starting pitcher. Hopefully Alderson pulls the trigger on someone in that group. Bullpen:

Closer-Bobby Parnell
RP-Scott Rice (L)
RP-Vic Black
RP-Gonzalez Germen
RP-Josh Edgin (L)
RP-Jeurys Familia
RP-TBD (frontrunner is likely Jeff Walters, former AA closer)

I mean, you look at that list and you know there are multiple question marks. I guess we have to cross our fingers and hope for the best with that group. 

Remaining interesting free agents:  Luis Ayala, Grant Balfour, Joaquin Benoit, Rafael Betancourt, Joba Chamberlain, Jesse Crain, Octavio Dotel, Kyle Farnsworth, Jason Frasor, Mike Gonzalez, Kevin Gregg, Joel Hanrahan, Carlos Marmol, Peter Moylan, Fernando Rodney and Jose Veras

Same idea here; I'd pretty much take any one of those guys over Familia and/or our mystery 7th man. Anyway, I'm heading out to dinner. Feel free to comment. 

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Johnny Fro's 2013-14 NBA Preseason Predictions: Are Derrick Rose's Bulls Ready to Make The Leap?

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Honesty is the best policy. With that in mind, I would like to announce that I am too lazy to explain my 2013-14 NBA preseason predictions. I'm just going to post them, then field complaints from my friends. Thank you. 

KEY: *** = Playoff team

EASTERN CONFERENCE

Atlantic Division

1. Brooklyn Nets (58-24) ***
2. New York Knicks (46-36) ***
3. Toronto Raptors (39-43)
4. Boston Celtics (24-58)
5. Philadelphia 76ers (16-66)

Central Division

1. Chicago Bulls (60-22) ***
2. Indiana Pacers (49-33) ***
3. Cleveland Cavs (44-38) ***
4. Detroit Pistons (42-40) ***
5. Milwaukee Bucks (22-60)

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Southeast Division

1. Miami Heat (61-21) ***
2. Atlanta Hawks (40-42) ***
3. Washington Wizards (39-43)
4. Charlotte Bobcats (29-53)
5. Orlando Magic (26-56)

WESTERN CONFERENCE

Northwest Division

1. Oklahoma City Thunder (51-31) ***
2. Denver Nuggets (44-38) ***
3. Portland Trail Blazers (42-40)
4. Minnesota Timberwolves (41-41)
5. Utah Jazz (23-59)

Pacific Division

1. Los Angeles Clippers (60-22) ***
2. Golden State Warriors (51-31) ***
3. Los Angeles Lakers (34-48)
4. Sacramento Kings (28-54)
5. Phoenix Suns (22-60)

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Southwest Division

1. San Antonio Spurs (57-25) ***
2. Houston Rockets (56-26) ***
3. Memphis Grizzlies (50-32) ***
4. New Orleans Pelicans (43-39) ***
5. Dallas Mavericks (41-41)

CONFERENCE FINALS

Eastern Conference:  Chicago Bulls over Miami Heat (4-3)

Western Conference:  Oklahoma City Thunder over Houston Rockets (4-2)

NBA FINALS!!!

CHICAGO BULLS OVER OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (4-3)

Monday, October 7, 2013

Quarterback Power Rankings: Has Brady Fallen Out of My Top 10?

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I never thought I'd see the day, but...is Tom Brady no longer an elite NFL quarterback?

(Cue the angry Patriots fans immediately saying, "He has no weapons! No Gronk, Hernandez, Vereen, Lloyd -- what is he supposed to do?")

And I completely agree, this is the weakest group of offensive skill players that Brady has ever taken the field with. Very inexperienced at wide receiver with Kenbrell Thompkins and Aaron Dobson as two of his top four options, and career-long spot starter Julian Edelman is serving as his underwhelming go-to guy.

And the Patriots are currently 4-1 atop the AFC East, so what the hell am I talking about?

Well, let's not forget that New England has one of the top five offensive lines in the game (arguably top two or three), so the protection is still there. As far as skills, I see Brady's accuracy declining, and his lack of mobility -- both in and out of the pocket -- is more apparent than ever. In today's league of mobile quarterbacks, his cement shoes stick out like a sore thumb. 

Nonetheless, he's still winning. So where will he rank in my list?

39. Jeff Tuel, Buffalo Bills:  He was forced into action in Week 5 when EJ Manuel left the game with an injury...what followed was one of the most embarrassing quarterback performances I've ever seen. No vision, no accuracy, no power, almost no mobility. I'm not sure I've seen a weaker QB take a snap in the NFL. 

38. Thaddeus Lewis, Buffalo Bills:  The Bills just signed this guy off the practice squad...and he's starting this week! What the hell is going on over there? They might as well start Thaddeus Young from the Philadelphia 76ers. Similar name, probably similar results. 

37. Mike Glennon, Tampa Bay Bucs:  Here's the new franchise quarterback of the Bucs; all I know about him is that they had his first win in the bag against the Cardinals, and he decided to throw it away to Patrick Peterson. Good start to his tenure as lead signal caller. 

36. Blaine Gabbert, Jacksonville Jaguars:  Can the Jaguars stop already with this guy? Enough is enough! Luckily for their fans, Gabbert is currently injured and Chad Henne has the ball. That's not saying much, but he's definitely better than Gabbert. Woof. 

35. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Tennessee Titans:  I feel like people are always saying, "He's not THAT bad." But if you watch him play, he really is. He has some mobility when the going gets tough, but he's inaccurate and a poor decision-maker. He can keep you in the game at times, until he blows it. 

34. Chad Henne, Jacksonville Jaguars:  He can never seem to pry the job away from Gabbert, so how good can he possibly be? He was also a failure in Miami. 

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33. Nick Foles, Philadelphia Eagles:  Never liked him when I saw him in the past, but he actually looked pretty good after Michael Vick went down this week. We'll see if he's on the rise. I'm not sold off one decent half. 

32. Matt Cassel, Minnesota Vikings:  He's done fairly well filling in for Christian Ponder (or possibly taking over his job for good?), but he was absolutely atrocious at the end of his tenure with the Chiefs. He's very short and not especially skilled, and now Josh Freeman is in the Minnesota mix as well. 

31. Brandon Weeden, Cleveland Browns:  Known for holding the ball longer than any QB in the game, I actually enjoy watching Weeden throw the ball (when he gets it off). He throws a nice deep ball but has no agility or awareness. 

30. Christian Ponder, Minnesota Vikings:  He's never that bad when I watch him play, but everyone else (including the Vikings front office) seems to think he stinks. I guess he's just an average (or below) professional quarterback. 

29. Geno Smith, New York Jets:  As many of you know, I'm a Jets fan...and I see some good things from Geno Smith. Obviously he's unable to protect the ball (lot of interceptions and fumbles), but he's fearless and makes some truly beautiful, tough throws at times. I don't believe he'll ever be a Pro Bowl caliber QB, but I do believe he can help us win some games. It's not all bad. 

28. Josh Freeman, Minnesota Vikings:  It's really splitting hairs when it comes to Minnesota's three QBs, but Freeman had some sustained success as a starter at different times during his stint in Tampa. Despite the character questions and multitude of issues with the Bucs, teams still seemed quite intrigued by Freeman -- that speaks volumes. His skills are desirable. 

27. Terrelle Pryor, Oakland Raiders:  Not much of a pocket passer, but Terrelle's definitely making plays with his legs. He's one of the top three rushers at the quarterback position, and the Raiders were right to hand him the job over Matt Flynn (who was actually released today). 

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26. Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals:  Okay, Chad Johnson and TJ Houshmandzadeh were getting old in Cincinnati, and he had no weapons when he played for Oakland. Now he has two explosive athletes in Larry Fitzgerald and Michael Floyd...so what's the excuse this time? He's just not very good. Very one-dimensional. 

25. Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers:  Easily the most overrated player in the NFL. No awareness, completely inaccurate, careless, raw and showing zero improvement. I actually think he's getting worse. Much worse. He's an atrocity in the 4th quarter too. 

24. Matt Schaub, Houston Texans:  He's not THAT bad...but he's playing like he is. I think he's probably in the back end of the top 20, but I can't really justify that at the moment. Gary Kubiak says he's sticking with him, nonetheless. 

23. EJ Manuel, Buffalo Bills:  Unfortunate injury for the Bills and their faithful; this kid's playing much better than I expected. I really have been impressed with his all-around output. Possibly a bright future here, we'll see after the injury. 

22. Sam Bradford, St. Louis Rams:  He's like a better version of the aforementioned Ryan Fitzpatrick -- people always say he's pretty good, then you watch him play and are appalled. Not accurate down the field, makes many questionable decisions each and every game. The Rams franchise is stuck. 

21. Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals:  Most disappointing player in the NFL so far this season? Unable to connect with AJ Green, Dalton has been shaky, sloppy and unable to find options despite Sanu, Jones, Gresham, Eifert and Bernard. This team's offensive weapons are better than Dalton is making them look. Bengals are lucky to be 3-2. 

20. Jake Locker, Tennessee Titans:  While Dalton may be the biggest underachiever, Locker (prior to his unfortunate injury) was looking like one of the most improved players in the league. Moving extremely well in and out of the pocket, throwing with both velocity and accuracy. He was also protecting the ball; something he'd never done well in the past. He will be missed. 

19. Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins:  It's not always pretty, but this kid is fearless. He's what I refer to as a, "Blank-minded quarterback." Three other examples: Eli Manning, Joe Flacco and Geno Smith. So as you can see, being blank-minded can be a blessing or a curse. Overall, Tannehill's early-career success has to be considered a pleasant surprise for the Dolphins. Coming along much quicker than I anticipated. 

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18. Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears:  Many of you know that I cannot stand this guy. I don't think a team led by Jay Cutler will ever get over the hump. Too many careless throws, critical errors and whiny excuses. 

17. Robert Griffin III, Washington Redskins:  Just not the same player he was without his explosive mobility. We'll see what happens when he gets his legs back under him. Looks like a lost season for the Skins. 

16. Eli Manning, New York Giants:  I've always been a big Eli guy, but what he's doing this season is unacceptable. He seems to be completely unwilling to take a sack -- instead he'd rather throw a pick during a crucial moment of the game. His performance is declining like Cam Newton and Andy Dalton. 

15. Michael Vick, Philadelphia Eagles:  I think he's still one of the most inaccurate starters in the league, but he remains an explosive all-around playmaker. The Eagles still have a good shot at their division. Let's see if Nick Foles can hold down the fort in Vick's 1-2 week injury absence. 

14. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens:  The best player in the 2012-13 postseason is missing Anquan Boldin and Dennis Pitta. Flacco has had a couple of shaky outings, but the Ravens are still 3-2 atop the AFC North. He's earned the nickname "Joe Cool."

13. Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs:  Smith's Chiefs are riding high at 5-0, and he's doing what he does best...protecting the football. I love ball security -- I mean, who doesn't?

12. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers:  The Steelers have been one of the worst teams in the NFL this season, but Big Ben is certainly not to blame. Pittsburgh has had no running game in the absence of Le'Veon Bell (recently returned) and LaRod Stephens-Howling (out for the season, underrated big-play runner), and Ben clearly misses WR1 Mike Wallace. Antonio Brown has failed to develop. Ben can still get it done, as we saw once he had Bell against Minnesota. 

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11. Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers:  I was super high on Kap throughout the postseason, and I'm still a fan, but he's not the same guy without Michael Crabtree. Anquan Boldin has been a fantastic acquisition, but Vernon Davis has been banged up leaving very few options in the passing attack. Love Kap's mobility and raw strength. He could be in the top 10 when Crabtree, Boldin and Davis are all together. 

10. Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers:  After two down years, Rivers is back and possibly better than ever. He's an early-season MVP candidate, keeping his Chargers in the hunt with spectacular play at the quarterback position. I've really been impressed with his ability to silence many of the haters. Good for him. 

9. Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions:  One of my favorite quarterbacks to watch. Nice, loose, strong, fluid arm. He can make all the throws, and he makes 'em look good. The Lions are a team to watch if Megatron can stay healthy. 

8. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons:  "Matty Ice" continues to play good ball, but the Falcons defense can never seem to make a critical stop. The Falcons could easily be 3-1, but they never lock down when the situation requires it. Ryan is smart, accurate, well-prepared and still improving. My opinion has changed on him over the years. 

7. Tom Brady, New England Patriots:  All right, he's not outside of the top 10, what do you want me to say? I thought the title would get you to read this; maybe it did. Anyway, as I said in the opening, Brady's accuracy isn't what it once was, and I think his lack of mobility takes him out of contention for my top six. All six of my top guns have mobility, either in or out of the pocket (or both). 

6. Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks:  I have nothing bad to say about this kid. When he tucks it and runs, he's literally like a running back. His form and ball protection are flawless. Opposing defenses (even the top units) continue to refer to him as "a problem." He really is. When he has room to run, he takes it without hesitating. When he scrambles and someone opens up down field, he makes the throw. When the pressure is on, he responds. What a truly special player. 

5. Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts:  I can't believe what this kid did to the vaunted Seattle defense this weekend -- converting one third-and-long after another, after another, after another. That's almost impossible to do against the Seahawks' menacing defense, and yet, Luck did it with relative ease. Here's another kid who has it all: smart, mobile, accurate, prepared and dangerous. The Colts are now the second-best team in the AFC. 

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4. Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys:  For 47 minutes, Tony Romo put together (arguably) the greatest quarterback performance in the history of the game: 506 yards and five touchdowns without an interception or fumble...

...Until the final two minutes of the game, when disaster struck. Tony threw one of those famous Romo picks -- at the worst time, with the worst field position -- and I was literally stunned. I was so happy for the guy that he was out dueling Peyton Manning, and that it seemed Peyton's interception was going to cost Denver a dramatic win. But Tony's pick was even more painful, adding fire to the flame of the Romo haters. The hate is not warranted -- Romo is nifty, accurate, talented and underrated. I honestly believe he is one of the greatest playmakers in the history of the position (playmaker, not pure passer). He avoids the rush beautifully, and then has the uncanny ability to complete the play. 

Tony Romo...the most tragic figure in the NFL. 

3. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints:  Just keeps on doing what he does...prepares wonderfully, spreads the ball around, eats up yards and gets his team into the endzone. He's a surgeon out there. The Saints are rolling. 

2. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers:  The perfect quarterback...and he's not number one???

1. Peyton Manning, Denver Broncos:  It's hard to watch Peyton Manning this season and think a quarterback could ever be better. He's made some missteps in the postseason, but I still think he's the greatest quarterback to ever play the game. He's definitely the most intelligent football player of all time. A true genius. 


John Frascella is the author of "Theo-logy: How a Boy Wonder Led the Red Sox to the Promised Land," the only book centered on popular executive Theo Epstein. Like what you've read? Looking for writers? Email John at john.frascella@gmail.com. 

Sunday, December 23, 2012

Sports Blogging During My Safe Driving Course: A Pivotal Showdown in the NFC North

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So, my car insurance agent has been bugging me to complete a defensive driving course for about a year now. Finally today -- since it's really to my financial benefit -- I decided to take her up on that.

Needless to say, I wasn't particularly enthralled to find that the course is a SIX-hour commitment. With that in mind, I have decided to write about sports to fill in some of the down time during this wonderful learning experience. 

2:26 p.m.:  Jermichael Finley just put together a spectacular effort on a 14-yard pass from Aaron Rodgers, but it was eventually ruled incomplete by the side judge. Speaking of Jermichael Finley...isn't he one of the most disappointing players in the NFL? All hype, very little substance. He's also injury prone. 

2:29:  Darren Sproles just caught a slant over the middle and took it for 44 yards through the middle of the enigmatic Cowboys defense. Dallas just allowed a touchdown about 1:30 ago, which tied the game at 14 before the end of the half. To allow another TD here in the final minute would be a travesty at home. 

Saints ended up settling for a short FG from shaky Garrett Hartley. 17-14 Saints at half in a must-win for the 'Boys. 

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2:37:  Adrian Peterson knifing through the Texans defense...ho hum...what else is new? Talk about dominant individual seasons this year:  Peterson, Calvin Johnson, JJ Watt and Aldon Smith. Records being shattered left and right. Very impressive and fun to watch. 

2:40:  1,148 auto-related fatalities in New York in 2010. Is that even a lot? I was kind of expecting a higher number than that. Maybe we're driving more carefully than we think in our state...nahhhhh. Who am I kidding?

2:43:  I should probably address the fact that I chose a photo of Big Ben and The Red Rocket (Ben Roethlisberger and Andy Dalton). That's because I consider the Bengals/Steelers game to be the most pivotal of the day. The NFC East certainly makes for interesting games, but the Eagles (playing Robert Griffin III) and the Saints (playing the 'Boys) aren't in the race. Obviously the Steelers and Bengals both are. 

2:52:  I feel like the Cowboys defense never holds on third downs. Maybe it's just me, but I see pretty consistent failure in those scenarios. 

3:02:  I'm actually looking forward to the Timberwolves @ Knicks game that begins late this afternoon. New York got embarrassed by Chicago in their last outing, and I'm thinking the descent back to Earth is under way. We'll see. The Wolves don't have Kevin Love so the Knicks should be able to capitalize to some extent. 

3:05:  So much for the Dolphins under 6.5 wins this season -- they're currently beating up on the lowly Bills which will result in their 7th victory. Oh well. What do I know? Not much apparently. 

3:10:  The Steelers just tied it up at 10. Let's go, boys! I have the Steelers, Cowboys and Giants in a saucy parlay today. I'm live at the moment. 

3:15:  What else can I talk about? Oh, I ranked all 32 NFL starting quarterbacks the other day. Here's what I came up with:

32. Greg McElroy-Jets
31. John Skelton-Cardinals
30. Brady Quinn-Chiefs
29. Ryan Fitzpatrick-Bills
28. Chad Henne-Jaguars
27. Nick Foles-Eagles
26. Jake Locker-Titans
25. Brandon Weeden-Browns
24. Christian Ponder-Vikings
23. Sam Bradford-Rams
22. Joe Flacco-Ravens
21. Ryan Tannehill-Dolphins
20. Carson Palmer-Raiders
19. Josh Freeman-Bucs
18. Colin Kaepernick-49ers
17. Russell Wilson-Seahawks
16. Jay Cutler-Bears
15. Philip Rivers-Chargers
14. Andy Dalton-Bengals
13. Andrew Luck-Colts
12. Matthew Stafford-Lions
11. Cam Newton-Panthers
10. Matt Schaub-Texans
9. Matt Ryan-Falcons
8. Robert Griffin III-Redskins
7. Ben Roethlisberger-Steelers
6. Tony Romo-Cowboys
5. Peyton Manning-Broncos
4. Eli Manning-Giants
3. Drew Brees-Saints
2. Tom Brady-Patriots
1. Aaron Rodgers-Packers

Any comments regarding this list? If so, holla at me...

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3:37:  Congrats to my boy Darius Butler on another pick-six today. What a comeback season for my former Jumpshooter teammate. Great to see him thriving as an Indianapolis Colt. 

3:41:  Marques Colston may have just buried the Cowboys. Man, Dallas never seems to step up. They are such a collective disappointment. Sometimes I actually feel bad for Jerry Jones

3:47:  Okay, this is boring me. 

Monday, October 8, 2012

NFL Power Rankings: Matt Ryan & Julio Jones' Falcons Fly High

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Things can change quite a bit over the span of one, single year...can't they?

The Packers and Saints were setting the pace at this time last season, cruising up and down the field with their high-octane, seemingly-unstoppable offenses. 

Well, that certainly isn't the case this year. The Saints finally won their first game (now 1-4) and the Packers just coughed up a 21-3 lead and suffered an excruciating loss at the hands of Andrew Luck, Reggie Wayne and the underdog Colts. 

With those once-elite teams stumbling down the ranks, who has stepped up to claim the high-end real estate? Let's find out...

32. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4):  The Jaguars brain trust tried valiantly to improve their offense this offseason with the wide receiver additions of rookie Justin Blackmon and former Cowboy Laurent Robinson; unfortunately Blaine Gabbert is still their starting quarterback. Needless to say, things aren't working out too well to this point in the season. I'm not sure what to think about their embarrassing second half performance against the Bears this week -- just atrocious. 

31. Tennessee Titans (1-4):  I know I'm not going out on a limb but I have to say it...Chris Johnson has been the most disappointing player in the NFL this season -- by a landslide. 

30. Kansas City Chiefs (1-4):  Jamaal Charles is clearly back to elite form, but the rest of KC's offense never seems to perform well when the game is within one score. They're a garbage time kind of unit. That's kind of how I feel about Dwayne Bowe -- I don't really view him as a crunch time, go-to receiver. Maybe that's just me. I still like this team's defense when healthy. 

29. Carolina Panthers (1-4):  Talk about a team that's been difficult to watch -- sloppy, inconsistent and devoid of light at the end of the tunnel. Cam Newton's been all over the place (not in a positive way) and their defense can never seem to make a critical stop. 

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28. Cleveland Browns (0-5):  I'm well aware that they're the only winless team remaining in the NFL, but I'm sticking to my guns...

They're not that bad. Trent Richardson is an incredible young talent, Brandon Weeden has been serviceable and they're getting superstar CB Joe Haden back this week. There is ability on this roster. They're young. They might be solid a little (not a Greg Little pun) ways down the road.

27. Oakland Raiders (1-3):  With the exception of their surprising victory over the Steelers they've looked like the Oakland Raiders we've come to know and pity.  

26. Tampa Bay Bucs (1-3):  Loved the Vincent Jackson addition, but I don't see this team going anywhere with Josh Freeman at the helm. He's really just an average quarterback. There's nothing championship-caliber about this squad. 

25. Buffalo Bills (2-3):  New season, same old Bills. Good job laying down against the 49ers. Chan Gailey's boys see a great team and immediately sprint in the opposite direction. 

24. New York Jets (2-2):  Injuries:  Darrelle Revis, Santonio Holmes and Dustin Keller; team MVP and Mark Sanchez's top two receiving options. These are injuries a mediocre team cannot recover from. 

23. Detroit Lions (1-3):  Head coach Jim Schwartz needs to figure out where he's going to find consistency running the football. This backfield is crowded and underwhelming. In addition, defensive discipline has been a hindrance for Detroit again this season. I think Schwartz gets canned if they don't make the playoffs. (Probably a longshot the way Minnesota and Chicago are playing right now.)

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22. Washington Redskins (2-3):  Robert Griffin III and Pierre Garcon need to be simultaneously healthy before we can truly evaluate this team on the offensive side of the ball. Defensively they've been good but not exceptional. 

21. Dallas Cowboys (2-2):  Jason Garrett is the worst head coach in the NFL; a change needs to be made. This is a franchise full of underachievers, from the players all the way up to the front office. The future is dim. 

20. New Orleans Saints (1-4):  They're a Garrett Hartley field goal away from being 2-3 and very much in the hunt. Drew Brees and Marques Colston have rekindled their chemistry and New Orleans' defensive unit stepped up in the fourth quarter of their season-saving victory over the offensively-talented Chargers. 

19. Green Bay Packers (2-3):  Mason Crosby did his best Billy Cundiff impression this weekend. This team is riddled with injuries and in danger of missing the postseason this year.  

18. Indianapolis Colts (2-2):  A day later, I'm still amazed by Reggie Wayne's incredible receiving performance against the Packers. What an awesome comeback win for the Colts and their faithful. Well deserved. 

17. Seattle Seahawks (3-2):  Marshawn Lynch and a stout defense...the Seahawks in a nutshell.  I'm not at all impressed with Russell Wilson or Pete Carroll's receiving corps. 

16. Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2):  Still battling defensive injuries and...well...they lost to the Raiders. That's just awful. They don't really deserve to be ahead of the team in the 15-spot. 

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15. Denver Broncos (2-3):  They've been an interesting team thus far. For the most part, Peyton Manning has played well enough and there have been nice flashes from Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker and Willis McGahee. However, on the other side of the ball, John Fox's defense has under-performed relative to last year. They need to elevate their collective play. 

14. Cincinnati Bengals (3-2):  A.J. Green is one of the premier players in the NFL right now, but I'm not sure this team has what it takes to be a legitimate postseason threat. As we say in poker, they seem a little "light."

13. Miami Dolphins (2-3):  Easily the surprise team of the season -- they're a couple of bad breaks away from being a legitimate 4-1 club. Joe Philbin has done a tremendous job at the helm, and rookie Ryan Tannehill has really impressed me with his ability to avoid the rush and make plays in tough spots. Miami features an excellent offensive line and a strong, disciplined defense. I really like CB1 Sean Smith

12. St. Louis Rams (3-2):  Helluva job by Jeff Fisher to this point. The Rams have quickly converted from one of the worst defensive teams to one of the best. That's a very difficult transition to make in a short period of time. Credit the front office and coaching staff for putting these guys in a position to make some noise. 

11. San Diego Chargers (3-2):  Same old Chargers. We know they'll be either 8-8, 9-7 or 10-6 at the end of the season. We know it'll be a tight battle for the division title. We know, if they do reach the playoffs, that they'll lose early on. Such is life for San Diego football fans. 

10. Philadelphia Eagles (3-2):  Michael Vick has been crappy but their defense has been stout and LeSean McCoy is a bad man. Shifty and explosive...wear ankle braces. 

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9. Arizona Cardinals (4-1):  It felt really weird typing 9. and then "Arizona Cardinals." It's usually like 29. Similar scenario to the Rams here. Adrian Wilson wants Defensive MVP this season. 

8. New England Patriots (3-2):  We know they'll be in the mix when it's all said and done. I don't feel like rambling on about them.    

7. New York Giants (3-2):  I think Eli Manning is the best quarterback in the NFL right now. If they could ever keep Hakeem Nicks on the field they'd definitely be in the top five. Somehow, despite the extra defensive attention, Victor Cruz still thrives in his absence. 

6. Minnesota Vikings (4-1):  Surprisingly, this is one of the most well-rounded teams in the game. If Christian Ponder can continue to protect the football the Vikings will stick around come playoff time. Really admire the way they are playing right now. Clean and efficient. 

5. Chicago Bears (4-1):  Best defense in the world. Even better than the 49ers right now. Trying to score against them is a true nightmare -- strong on the D-line, at linebacker and in the secondary. I don't think there's an offensive solution to this unit after five games.

4. Baltimore Ravens (4-1):  I'd still like them to play cleaner and more effectively on the road. At least they got rid of Billy Cundiff. Maybe they'll win a close game in the postseason this year.

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3. San Francisco 49ers (4-1):  A tremendous all-around team. A joy to watch. In my opinion, Jim Harbaugh is the best head coach in the game. Belichick is a legend, but Harbaugh doesn't allow his ego to cloud his judgment in should-be conservative situations.

2. Houston Texans (4-0):  Such is the trend this season:  Balance is the way to go. Vikings, Ravens, 49ers, Texans and Falcons -- strong on both sides of the ball. Who isn't impressed by the trio of Matt Schaub, Arian Foster and Andre Johnson? I know I respect them. 

1. Atlanta Falcons (5-0):  For a few years many of us have been saying, "The offense is there, but the defense isn't quite up to par." That's no longer the case. Look out, the Atlanta Falcons are the best team in football right now.

Sunday, October 7, 2012

MLB Playoffs Running Commentary: CC Shuts Down the High-Octane Orioles

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Sunday, October 7, 8:28 p.m.:  Looks like we're headed for an 8:40 first pitch...

8:31:  I feel comfortable picking the Yankees to win this series, but tonight's the game I'm most concerned about. C.C. Sabathia hasn't been an elite pitcher this season -- he's been "good" but nothing more -- and Jason Hammel is the only true threat to the Yankees' high-powered offense.

Hammel was a back-of-the-rotation starter for the Rockies in recent years, but he's really found it in Baltimore. Maybe Buck Showalter opened his eyes to superior pitch sequences. Hammel's looked like a second-tier ace, which is great considering his career leading into this season.

8:37:  This new Division Series format drives me nuts. Why are the Orioles home for Game 1 when the Yankees won the division and had the best record in the American League? Silly logic from the league's brain trust.
   
8:43:  "Would you bunt Ichiro here?" my roommate just asked. You can't because playing for one run early doesn't make sense the way Sabathia has pitched. Plus, it's an American League playoff game with two dangerous lineups -- you have to rally whenever possible.

8:46:  ...And there's Ichiro right on cue. Nice job by Joe Girardi starting Jeter there. 1-0 Yanks. Welcome back to the postseason, O's. Wow, terrible stolen base attempt by Ichiro there. What was that?

8:50:  Ichiro got the momentum rolling in the Yankees favor and then (almost) instantaneously gave it back. Terrible baserunning play that could be critical to the outcome of the game. Reminds me of Josh Hamilton's first-pitch double play in the first inning against Saunders the other day. Generated an early momentum shift. 

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8:55:  C.C. shook off Martin three times there before getting the pitch he wanted...four-seam fastball up and in. Very well executed for an out. 

8:58:  I know this is running baseball commentary, but Drew Brees just connected with Devery Henderson on a beautiful, long touchdown in the Sunday Night game. 7-7 in the first quarter. 

9:08:  Hammel isn't sharp early. Allowing leadoff runners to reach base and not locating when ahead in the count. Three poor 0-2 pitches there, but he escapes with the foul pop out from Martin. 

9:25:  Man, it's hard to stick to running MLB commentary when you have Sunday Night Football, Words with Friends, Draw Something, NHL 2013 and three roommates in the living room. You know?

9:34:  I was nervous when C.C. picked up that ball; luckily Tex held the bag. Ugh, Nate McLouth lefty on lefty, two RBI single. Annoying. 

9:36:  2-1 Baltimore after 3. Not a good sign for the Yankees because Sabathia has looked sharper than Hammel in terms of location and execution, and yet New York trails. We'll see how they respond...

9:41:  Excellent at bat from A-Rod. Great approach and discipline to draw the leadoff walk from Hammel. 

9:44:  Maybe it's just me, but I feel like Robinson Cano swings at every pitch in the postseason. Another excellent play by Mark Reynolds playing even with the bag at first. 

9:51:  More atrocious baserunning by the Yankees. Where is Tex going with the ball in front of him like that? Should be first and third one out. Changes everything. 

10:02:  Very uncharacteristic two out walk by Sabathia there. Free swinger like Reynolds; you need to make him hack with two out and no one on. Luckily it's Machado at the plate now; I don't view him as much of an offensive threat in this series batting as high in the order as he is (6th, expected him 8th). 

10:11:  Yankee hitters are consistently late on Hammel's sinking fastball which appears to be "fat" from time to time. I'd like to see them getting extended a tad earlier. As I say that, Ichiro is late on a hittable fastball and goes down swinging. 

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10:54:  Sabathia bites down and escapes after Jeter's potentially-costly E6. Pretty awful at bat from "Crush" Davis there in a pivotal position. 

11:00:  Horrible performance from Orioles reliever Troy Patton. I'm surprised that Buck trusted him in a game like this. Now it's Darren O'Day's mess to clean up; we expect Jeter to bunt them over to second and third here with no outs. 

11:27:  Helluva night for Sabathia; a true bulldog performance. Let's see if the Yankee bats can man up like C.C. has. 

11:34:  I don't know what I just saw...one of the worst at bats I've ever seen from Curtis Granderson. Takes a fastball right down the middle; takes a hanging slider then chases a fastball up out of the strikezone. Good morning, good afternoon and goodnight. Nice outing from Brian Matusz

11:47:  Somebody step up for C.C. -- let's go! How can the Yankee bats not be inspired to support their battling ace?

12:15 a.m.:  Thus concludes a classic performance from Sabathia:  8 2/3 innings, 2 R, 120 pitches in a hitter's park, road playoff game. Outstanding, and Robertson nails it down. Impressive late-game victory for the Yanks in Baltimore. 

12:18:  Talk about a demoralizing loss for Showalter and the O's. Jim Johnson and his 51 saves couldn't get the job done tonight. Game 2 tomorrow evening...can't wait. Congrats Yankees fans!