Friday, September 18, 2020

Fantasy Football Stream of Consciousness: Week 2

 Photo Credit: Stripe Hype 


When you are highly active on fantasy Twitter, you become invested in virtually every offensive player in the NFL. Thus, each week, there is a ton to unpack. Here are some rapid-fire thoughts, as we await Sunday's exciting slate of games... 

1. Joe Burrow looks good, early. 

I loved him in college - particularly last season - and thus far he looks like himself at the NFL level. He's confident, makes quick reads and mixes the pass and run. Since well before the draft, I've been calling him a potential Philip Rivers or Matt Ryan in terms of career production and ranking. Like, in their best years, Rivers and Ryan could be considered top 5 at the time, but ultimately they are more like the No. 6 to 12 QB in the league. That's pretty damn good, if you ask me. Burrow has the rushing element they never had, too. Tough, close loss to the Browns last night, though. 

2. Who are the Texans when they aren't getting crushed by the Chiefs?

It's easy to look bad against the mighty Chiefs. But who are these Texans, in the absence of the great DeAndre Hopkins? Was that shellacking a good indicator of who they will be, going forward? 

I'm not a Brandin Cooks guy, and Randall Cobb looked elderly in the opener. Will Fuller and Kenny Stills can be frustrating, for obvious reasons. And damn... opening up against the Chiefs and Ravens, back to back? That's cold, NFL! Generally I go against the grain when the Public is heavy one way (it's 82% on the Ravens at -7, at the moment), but I dunno on this one. I could still see the Ravens blowing their doors off. The Texans will continue to be an interesting team to monitor in the early going. I honestly think I may go with the Public on this one. 

3. Will Mitchell Trubisky take a stranglehold of the Bears' starting QB spot?

He was the hero in the opener, leading an unlikely comeback that shocked the Lions and their faithful. But...he kind of looked like himself, early. Sloppy, inaccurate, ill-prepared. This is a major opportunity for Mitch this week against the Giants - he could really hit the ground running, if he comes in prepared and focused. I think Allen Robinson is in for a huge game, with all the off-the-field nonsense going on. It's only 34% on the Bears right now, which hypothetically bodes well for Trubisky. You just never quite know if he's going to deliver. 

4. That Falcons/Cowboys game really feels like a shootout, doesn't it?

Looks can be deceiving, but I think you just gotta go with this one. Fire up Ryan, Prescott, Zeke, Ridley, Julio, Cooper & Gallup in DFS. Maybe even Hayden Hurst, CeeDee Lamb and Russell Gage... 

5. Are the Packers in for a mini regression this week vs. the Lions?

Aaron Rodgers is on a mission this season. I've been saying this from the get-go. The second Green Bay drafted Jordan Love, I knew A-Rod was gonna pop off. I've been pushing him as a good veteran redraft play, along with Matty Ice and Drew Brees. But... was Rodgers too good in the opener? People may want to ride him in DFS, and I'm not sure he'll be worth the $6,900 salary on DK. I like Ryan at $6,600 and TB12 at $6,500 (he's in for a bounce-back game vs the Panthers). Also, it's 78% on the Packers right now. I think I like Aaron Jones more than Aaron Rodgers this week. But, overall over the course of the season, Rodgers will continue to shine. 

6. Can the 49ers beat my Jets by 100 points?

I mean, I'm kidding, but... not really. Ya never know with Gang Green. They are the plague of football.

7. Will Bridgewater continue to spread the targets around?

DJ Moore's ADP was frightening. As I've said many times before... Robby Anderson and Curtis Samuel are there. In the opener, Bridgewater was happy to use all of them, just about equally. Anderson was his WR1 over DJM, in terms of production. We shall see if that will continue, but DJM owners are sweating, undoubtedly...

Thursday, September 3, 2020

Fantasy Football: Auction Draft Results & Notes

Photo Credit: Heavy.com



Just some data and quick notes from last night:

-12 teams
-Superflex
-Last flex spot is only WR/TE
-RB devalued
-$220 budget 
-Full-point PPR


ONLY 5 PLAYERS WENT FOR $50+

Mahomes $58
Saquon $55
Lamar $54
CMC $53
Davante $50

BEST VALUE PLAYS IN THE $40s 

Julio for $41

Relatively speaking, Kamara went for $46 which is interesting

CEH went too high at $41 

BEST VALUE PLAYS IN THE $30s

Tyreek for $37
Chubb for $32
Evans for $32 

I like my pick of Prescott for $36 when Kyler went for $46 

Kelce for $31 feels good 

Aaron Rodgers for $30 is worth it in SF 

Odell went too high at $38

BEST VALUE PLAYS IN THE $20s

Tom Brady at $24 in SF
Kittle $27
Golladay $25
Metcalf $22
Kupp $22
Ekeler $22
Ertz $20

Didn't like JuJu or Drake at $29 

BEST VALUE PLAYS IN THE TEENS

A.J. Brown $19
Chark $18
Carr $14 in SF
Hilton $14 worth a shot
Rivers $14
Akers $13 (when CEH went for $41) 
DeVante Parker $13
Sutton $13
Lock $13
Minshew $11 (steal)
Woods $10 one of the best picks in the draft
Jonathan Taylor $10 super awesome value 
Tyrod $10 worth that in SF

BEST VALUES IN THE BARGAIN BASEMENT UNDER $10

A.J. Green $8
Fournette $8
Waller $8 freakin' steal!
Hollywood Brown $7 great pick 
Ryan Fitz $7 in SF
Haskins $7 same idea

($5 and under)

Crowder $5 Jets' WRs are depleted
Jordan Howard $4 why not?? 
Higbee $4 - shout to Rob Norton on Twitter!
Hunt $4 - wow 
Hunter Henry $3 real nice
Preston Williams $3 freakin steal 
Swift $3
Gesicki $2 fantastic value 
N'Keal $2
Hurst $2 hype player
James White $2
D-Jax $2
Tarik Cohen $2 freakin awesome 
Zack Moss $2 no risk
Blake Jarwin $1 - us! 
Anthony Miller $1
Lat Murray $1
Edmonds $1 - my dude! super quick 
Herndon $1
Irv Smith $1
Mack $1
Jonnu Smith $1