Wednesday, July 9, 2014

Who Does LeBron "Love"? My Thoughts On a Monumental NBA Offseason

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If LeBron James takes his talents back to Cleveland, Kevin Love will follow. If LeBron stays in Miami, Chris Bosh will stay. If LeBron goes to Cleveland, Bosh goes to the Houston Rockets. If Bosh goes to the Rockets, Chandler Parsons goes to the Dallas Mavericks. If Bosh stays in Miami, Parsons stays in Houston. 

You with me?

Yeah, me neither. I can barely follow that and I wrote it. 

Let's start with Scenario #1...if LeBron and Love both end up in Cleveland, they will instantly be the clear-cut favorite to come out of the Eastern Conference. Love and Kyrie Irving will go from carrying sub-par teams and getting primary defensive attention, to playing off the ball more and reaping the benefits of LeBron's textbook drive-and-kicks. The looks Love and Irving will get will be almost too good to be true. 

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The Cavs will be far from a perfect team -- Irving, Dion Waiters and Love leave much to be desired defensively -- but they should be virtually unstoppable offensively, as Waiters and Tristan Thompson are also skilled on that end. LeBron will also get his teammates to elevate their collective defensive effort and effectiveness. They have enough athleticism to improve. 

Scenario #2...if LeBron stays in Miami, Bosh will stay and of course Dwyane Wade remains. They also added Josh McRoberts and Shabazz Napier, who should certainly outperform Udonis Haslem and Mario Chalmers. Chalmers played the worst basketball of his life this postseason. Of course Napier is only a rookie, but he's already fearless and LeBron's wholehearted support doesn't hurt. McRoberts was also one of the most improved all-around players in the NBA over the course of the past two seasons. If LeBron stays they will be the clear favorites in the East, especially if Lance Stephenson leaves the Pacers. 

Scenario #3...Bosh heads for Houston because LeBron went home. This immediately drops the Heat to a bottom seed in the East, if not out of the playoffs altogether. The Cavs take over as the class of the conference, but we still have to keep an eye on Love. Is there a scenario in which LeBron returns to Cleveland but Love doesn't follow? The East becomes a free-for-all if the Cavs have LeBron without Love. The Cavs, Pacers, Bulls, Wizards, Nets and Hawks would all have legitimate shots to reach the Finals.

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What does this do for Houston? Not much, I don't think. Adding Bosh means losing Parsons, and I don't see much of a difference in value at this stage in their respective careers. Bosh complements Dwight Howard's game well, but a gaping hole emerges at the small forward position. I don't see Bosh propelling the Rockets to the very top of the West. I think they basically stay where they are, in the 3-to-6 range. 

Scenario #4...Signing Bosh means the Rockets don't have the ability to keep Parsons, who then joins Monta Ellis, Dirk Nowitzki, Tyson Chandler and Rick Carlisle in Dallas. The NBA Playoffs are a long haul and people tend to forget what happened in the first round, but the Mavs forced the Spurs to a Game 7 this postseason. The same Spurs team that embarrassed the defending-champion Heat and upstart Portland Trail Blazers, in addition to disposing the dynamic duo of Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant. Carlisle is also the second-best head coach in the league (behind Pop, of course). 

This would make the Mavs a serious contender, though I don't like the idea of Raymond Felton inheriting many of Jose Calderon's minutes. I think Carlisle will hate the way Felton plays. Devin Harris will probably be the starter and Dallas could potentially add another point guard at the deadline. 

Scenario #5...Bosh and Parsons both stay put. This is pretty self-explantory -- the Heat and Rockets stay where they are in the grand scheme. 

So what about the rest of the offseason frenzy?

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Well, not surprisingly, I'm very happy to hear that Carmelo Anthony is staying with Phil Jackson and the Knicks. Gives me another team to watch when my Nets aren't on. The Knicks would have been completely unwatchable if Melo skipped town. I already like what the Zenmaster has accomplished, dumping Chandler and Felton's contracts and working diligently to do the same with Amar'e Stoudemire, though I don't see the latter happening. That would be nothing short of a miracle. 

Not really sure where Stephenson will land. He's such a bizarre player I could see another team getting frustrated with his style. Some games he's your best all-around player, others he's a complete non-factor. He's a true wild card. 

Guys like Vince Carter, Mike Miller, and Ray Allen don't matter until we see where the big dogs land. I'm curious about Greg Monroe, Luol Deng and Gordon Hayward as well. 

All right, LeBron...make a decision! I'm dying here. Then we can see where the rest of the chips fall. 

Thursday, February 13, 2014

Ranking the NBA's 10 Worst Coaches: Is Mike Woodson the Worst in the League?

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What's the easiest way to evaluate an NBA head coach?

Look at his talent pool and determine whether or not his team is underachieving, overachieving or playing about as well as it should. For example, it's easy to see what a tremendous coach Rick Carlisle is when his team of misfits, castoffs and scrap parts is seeded ahead of more naturally-talented teams like the Warriors, Nuggets, Timberwolves and Kings in the loaded Western Conference. 

On the opposite end of the spectrum, it was easy to see what a terrible coach Mo Cheeks was for the Pistons when a team with Greg Monroe, Andre Drummond, Josh Smith (the elite rebounding frontcourt in the league) and Brandon Jennings failed to settle into a playoff spot in the laughable Eastern Conference. A completely justifiable firing. 

Anyway, let's get into the rankings (starting with 30 because that's where they rank in the grand scheme)...

30. Larry Drew, Milwaukee Bucks:  I'm not necessarily taking sides on this particular topic, but today's NBA players are very sensitive about their roles. They really want to know when they will be playing, and for how many minutes. 

That being said, Larry Drew has managed his rotation worse than every other coach in the league this season. He's had players go from not playing at all (i.e. Luke Ridnour) to the starting lineup, then back to nothing. Nate Wolters is another example of a player who has suffered through Coach Drew's whimsical decision making. I'd be shocked to see him back on the Bucks' bench next year. 

29. John Loyer, Detroit Pistons:  He's only coached a couple of games since Mo Cheeks' firing, but I like what he's done with the rotation. He's played Greg Monroe more down the stretch and stopped wasting playing time on scrubs like Josh Harrellson, Gigi Datome and Charlie Villanueva. Just play the guys who are actually professional ballers. 

28. Mike Brown, Cleveland Cavaliers:  When I watched the struggling Knicks demolish the Cavs a couple weeks ago, I couldn't help but think, "Nothing about what the Cavs are doing resembles anything near professional basketball." 

Their "star" player, Kyrie Irving, plays selfishly and shows no commitment to helping his teammates gel or improve. A terrible trait for a franchise point guard. Their offense consisted of four guys playing one-on-one (Irving, Dion Waiters, Tristan Thompson and Jarrett Jack) with no cutting, passing or continuity. Their collective lack of defensive effort was appalling. Their body language suggested a team defeated before it even touched the floor. 

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Simply put, it was an absolute shitshow and it was a direct reflection of their clueless head coach, Mike Brown. After the Pacers and Heat, the Cavs have one of the better individual talent pools in the light East, and yet they are 20-33, ranked 11th in the conference. Not acceptable. However, the Cavs have won four in a row, a fact which rescued Coach Brown from the dreaded No. 30 spot. 

27. Mike Woodson, New York Knicks:  You can't win 50+ games one season, come back the next year in an even weaker Eastern Conference, and suddenly become one of the worst teams in the NBA. I'm not blaming everything on Coach Woodson, but the Knicks play sloppy and ugly basketball on both ends of the floor. Offensively they stand around and watch Carmelo Anthony and J.R. Smith play one-on-one, and defensively they don't help or rotate.

It's just an absolute disaster. He clearly has to go.

26. Tyrone Corbin, Utah Jazz:  It's difficult to evaluate a head coach when he has one of the youngest and rawest rosters in the league. Utah has potential with players like PG Trey Burke, SG Gordon Hayward, PF Derrick Favors and C Enes Kanter, but I'm not sure any of those guys have superstar upside. With that in mind, it's tough to expect much from this season's Jazz in the stacked Wild West. 

However, Corbin doesn't articulate himself well and doesn't sound like a great tactician. I'm not sure how well he communicates with his young players. 

25. Jacque Vaughn, Orlando Magic:  Another example of a team with a very limited talent pool. Orlando has solid guys like Arron Afflalo, Nikola Vucevic, Jameer Nelson and Tobias Harris, but there isn't much explosiveness or upside here. 

On the other hand, they should be a decent halfcourt team with their specific personnel. And yet, they are not. They have struggled against every possible type of opposition. This is (in part) a reflection of Coach Vaughn's strategical shortcomings. 

24. Brett Brown, Philadelphia 76ers:  After a surprising 3-0 start to their season, the Sixers have been one of the worst teams in the history of professional basketball. I have never seen a more embarrassing defensive unit. Lazy, uninterested and seemingly lacking guidance and leadership. I think Coach Brown has done a shockingly terrible job with his young guys this season. 

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23. Brian Shaw, Denver Nuggets:  Maybe this is too generous of a ranking for Coach Shaw. The Nuggets still have Lawson, Chandler and Faried (a big part of their core from last season's playoff team) and yet they are devolving into one of the weaker teams in the West. He doesn't play Timofey Mozgov -- his most skilled big -- enough and even when he does, he doesn't emphasize getting Mozgov the ball in the proper post position. The Nuggets are a bad team right now, and Shaw has been a major coaching disappointment. 

22. Mike Malone, Sacramento Kings:  Give me DeMarcus Cousins, Rudy Gay, Isaiah Thomas (the most improved player in the game?) and Marcus Thornton, and I will have this team in the hunt for the 8-seed in the Western Conference. But Coach Malone is having the same problem as Coach Brown in Philly...he can't get these kids to understand the importance of a consistent defensive effort. Not only is there a lack of effort, there seems to be a misunderstanding of rotations and individual defensive responsibilities. That's a major issue against top-tier competition. 

21. Monty Williams, New Orleans Pelicans:  Maybe I am being too tough on Monty (no Ryan Anderson or Jrue Holiday), but I expect better from him. He was a Coach of the Year candidate a handful of years back, and now he often seems too frustrated or apathetic. Outside of the Timberwolves, the Pelicans have been the worst fourth quarter team in the league this season, and that generally speaks volumes about a head coach's offensive sets and timeout playcalls. 

Congrats fellas, on being the worst of the worst. 

Saturday, February 1, 2014

NBA Top 10: My Favorite Players to Watch

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Michael Jordan is the reason I fell in love with basketball. As a kid I remember my dad, aka "Big Fro," talking about Michael like he was a superhuman, mythical living legend. 

And that he was. 

Clearly, MJ was my favorite childhood basketball player. Growing up, I didn't really care about any teams other than the Chicago Bulls. After Michael retired, Stephon Marbury became my favorite player. I was mesmerized by Starbury's quickness, explosiveness and ability to dominate a game as a scorer and/or distributor. And as his career spiraled out of control and people began to hate him more and more, my admiration for him only increased. 

I have always supported athletes who are held to unfair expectations. Steph's situation with the Knicks is strikingly similar to Carmelo Anthony's right now. The media and public like to blame a struggling team's star player, instead of focusing on the fact that their supporting cast is barely NBA level. Anyone who expected Steph's Knicks to thrive, didn't know basketball. The same goes for people calling for Melo's head in New York (although the haters have quieted down since his already-legendary 62-point performance on Friday). 

After Starbury faded into tragic oblivion, Kobe Bryant became my favorite player. Why? Because to this day, he still reminds me of Jordan more than anyone. Unshakable confidence, uncanny ability, fearless under the brightest of bright lights. But now, as Kobe limps toward retirement (and isn't even active), it's time for him to pass the torch. Let's take a look at the candidates...

Honorable Mention

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Dwight Howard, C, Houston Rockets:  Like Marbury as a Knick, Chris Bosh early in his tenure with the Heat or even Carlos Boozer with the Bulls, I tend to root for the guy who everyone likes to bash. Dwight has been referred to as "the biggest baby in the NBA" and a "headcase" and yet he's the best true center of his generation. Everyone knows he's one of the premier rebounders and defenders in the game, but his excellent offensive ability is often overlooked or dismissed altogether. Dwight has a quick first step for a player of his size and stature, and he's arguably the strongest two-hand finisher of the last decade. Novice fans forget how difficult it is for a 7-footer to catch and finish with the consistency of a superstar like Howard.

James Harden, SG/SF, Houston Rockets:  One of the two or three most gifted offensive players in the world, and let's be real...world-class offense is a lot more fun to watch than world-class defense. I appreciate and understand the value of quality team defense, but that doesn't make it more fun to watch than an offensive player who can put an entire team on his shoulders at crunch time. That's Harden in a nutshell. 

Goran Dragic, PG, Phoenix Suns:  I call him "Mini-Harden." Lefty, quick, explosive, fearless and most of all...unpredictable. Dragic, like Harden, can turn a coach's, "No, no, no!" into a "nice shot, good job" in a matter of seconds. 

Nikola Pekovic, C, Minnesota Timberwolves:  "Pek" is one of the most consistent and under-appreciated players in the NBA. Personally, I value consistency as much or more than anything else. Pek always plays with maximum effort, but he's not simply a hustle player -- he's actually one of the most skilled finishers in the game. As an undersized center with little-to-no hops, Pek has become an efficient and effective scorer because of his incredibly soft touch around the rim. Any team in the league would be lucky to have him. 

Paul George, SF, Indiana Pacers:  Everyone seems to love this guy these days, right? "PG" is one of my favorite players because of the way he went toe-to-toe with LeBron James in back-to-back postseasons. LeBron is one of the top two players in the world so he won out over time, but PG proved he was a superstar on the rise and his stock continues to climb as the Pacers dominate the Eastern Conference this year. 

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Jeremy Lamb, SG/SF, Oklahoma City Thunder:  Can you say, UConn bias? I'm not ashamed to admit it in this case. Along with another tough, confident, fearless guard who you'll see in my top 10, "Lamb Chop" led my Huskies to the 2010-11 NCAA Men's Basketball Championship. I am ecstatic to see Jeremy getting the run he deserves with the white-hot Thunder, and I imagine his role will only increase over time.

Vince Carter, SG/SF, Dallas Mavericks:  Loved him during his stint with my Nets. Smooth, confident, fun to watch and always willing to carry the team during periods of offensive stagnation. What a tremendous career "Half-Man, Half-Amazing" has had. Hope he gets the credit he deserves in the Hall of Fame. 

Kevin Durant, SG/SF, Oklahoma City Thunder:  He's everybody's favorite player right now. I love him, I'm just trying to avoid the cliche selections. 

Top 10: My Favorite Players to Watch

10. Gerald Green, SG/SF, Phoenix Suns

I suppose I could have Gerald even higher than this, but I recently spotlighted him in my 10 Most Undervalued Players piece so I don't want to over-saturate (the same could be said of the player at my  No. 9 spot). I love this kid because he is probably the most explosive leaper I have ever seen in my life. He's a true, high-flying show stopper. Never gave up on his dream, even when he was fighting for his basketball life down in the NBDL. Now's he a major contributor for the NBA's biggest surprise team, Jeff Hornacek's Phoenix Suns. Go get 'em, Gerald. 

9. Nate Robinson, G, Denver Nuggets

I can't believe he tore his ACL and is out for the season. What a devastating blow for the Nuggets and all fans of explosive athleticism or streak-shooting a la Allen Iverson or Nick Van Exel. Nate is simply a joy to watch -- never afraid of his opponent or The Moment. When I coach youth players, this is the type of confidence I'd like to instill in them. You will be missed for the rest of the season, Nate-Rob. 

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8. Joe Johnson, SG, Brooklyn Nets

The numbers don't lie...Joe Johnson is one of the premier closers in the history of the NBA. He has the highest field goal percentage on game-winning shot attempts over the past three seasons. If he could play with that type of efficiency and focus for 48 minutes a night (like Kevin Durant or LeBron James, true superstars) he would definitely be my favorite player in the world. Until then, he resides in the bottom half of my top 10. 

7. Mike Conley, Jr., PG, Memphis Grizzlies

Everyone likes a guy who suits up, quietly goes about his business and always gets the job done well, right?

Well, that's pretty much Mike Conley. I love this guy. In college, scouts and analysts were highly critical of his perimeter shooting, but every time I watched Ohio State in a tight game, Conley was usually the one knocking down the clutch outside shots. Of course, since then his shooting mechanics and touch have only continued to improve on a yearly basis. Now he is regarded by opposing defenses as a legitimate three-point shooting threat. 

In addition, Conley's ability to drive and finish with his right hand (that's his off hand) has drastically improved to the point where you don't even have to play him to his right. It makes no difference. He drives quickly and effectively with both hands. And, any time I've watched this guy in the postseason, he rises to the occasion down the stretch of close games. He's also one of the premier defenders at the point guard position. There is nothing not to like about this guy. I would take him over more-heralded point guards -- like say, Kyrie Irving -- any day of the week. 

6. Dirk Nowitzki, PF, Dallas Mavericks

If "The Big German" wasn't nearing retirement, he'd definitely be in my top five. However, I can't punish Kobe for being on his way out, and not do the same to Dirk. That wouldn't be fair. Therefore here he sits, one outside of the big five. 

Anyone who doesn't like Dirk either doesn't know basketball or is a die-hard fan of the Miami Heat. Otherwise, you have to admire this guy. A seven-footer with the pure shooting stroke of legends like Larry Bird, Jerry West and Reggie Miller. The consummate teammate -- always willing to take pay cuts to allow the Mavs the opportunity to strengthen their roster. Always willing to make the right team play, even if there's a decent shot available to him. Always says all of the right things to the media. 

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In general, such a true class act. Basketball wise? I can't think of a more satisfying performance than his spirited, relentless assault of the more athletic, talented and publicized Heat in the 2010-11 NBA Finals. I will never forget that series or his deserving teammates including Jason Kidd, Shawn Marion, Jason Terry and Tyson Chandler -- all first-time champions. 

5. Kemba Walker, PG, Charlotte Bobcats

Finally a great draft pick by Michael Jordan. Yikes, it took awhile. What Michael likely saw in Kemba is what we all see these days...a kid who plays basketball with joy, passion, swagger and pure natural ability. Kemba was a hero for my Huskies during our 2010-11 National Championship run, and now he's taking a lackluster NBA franchise and turning it into a playoff contender in the hapless Eastern Conference. Is that really a compliment? I'm not entirely sure. 

Anyway, any of the Bobcats shortcomings have nothing to do with Kemba. He continues to impress with his ankle-breaking ballhandling, pretty mid-range game and late-game three-point makes. 

4. Jamal Crawford, G, Los Angeles Clippers

You watch some guys play ball and can't help but think, "He must have been dribbling a basketball since he was two or three years old."

Jamal Crawford, aka "J-Crossover" is certainly one of those players. Known for his signature killer crossover and jaw-dropping one-on-one ability, Crawford is mesmerizing on the court. Also, a couple of years ago, he made one of the funniest comments in league history. Please visit that link. If you love basketball, you will love that story. 

I really enjoyed watching J-Cross during his days as a Knick, and my admiration for his natural offensive skills has only intensified over the years. Keep firing, Jamal!

3. Zach Randolph, PF, Memphis Grizzlies

Think about the evolution of the power forward position in the NBA. Karl Malone and Charles Barkley were the kings of the court awhile back, two moderately-sized bigs who would have struggled to dominate against the power forward crop that followed them: Tim Duncan and Kevin Garnett. TD and KG brought raw size, length and incredible defensive ability to the position. Offensively, Dirk Nowitzki joined them to revolutionize the way we view and analyze power forwards. 

Now it's the era of Blake Griffin (arguably the greatest athlete in the history of the position), LaMarcus Aldridge (the best all-around PF with a true low post game), Kevin Love (stretching the floor like Dirk) and DeMarcus Cousins (the wild card). And yet, as the talent pool expands, there is one constant...Zach Randolph, best known as "Z-Bo."

While Duncan, Garnett, Aldridge and Cousins are all at or around seven feet, Z-Bo stands just 6-foot-9 (a generous listing by the Grizzlies media staff). Z-Bo doesn't jump high or run fast. He doesn't have any natural gifts. What he does have is unparalleled offensive rebounding positioning, the softest and surest hands in the game and the unrelenting desire to outwork his bigger and more talented opponents on the glass. Z-Bo is the master of second-chance points, a statistic that directly coincides with a team's offensive morale. The more second-chance points, the more unstoppable an offensive unit feels. 

Simply put, Z-Bo is a dream teammate. Gotta love this guy. 

2. Russell Westbrook, PG, Oklahoma City Thunder

For the past couple of seasons, I've casually said to my friends, "Russell Westbrook is my favorite player right now." I don't know if that made it official or binding, but it would probably still be the case if he could stay on the court this season. Unfortunately, he is out again right now and the scorching-hot Thunder don't seem to mind. 

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What do I love about Russ? Well, he has the same kind of show-stopping athleticism that Gerald Green has (in different ways), but he's a far superior all-around basketball player. I think he's the best one-man fast break I've ever seen. And, like his teammate KD, he brings it every friggin' night. When you watch Westbrook play, you can feel how hungry he is to succeed. He has the hunger to prove himself on a nightly basis, and to earn that championship ring that has eluded him thus far. 

Something tells me it's coming this season. 

1. Carmelo Anthony, SF, New York Knicks

Okay, so this decision may or may not have been influenced by the fact that I was at Madison Square Garden for Melo's incredible 62-point performance against the helpless Bobcats. May or may not. I can't really say. 

Anyway, Melo is the second-most gifted scorer in the NBA (behind Durant, of course) and he's the MOST unfairly treated basketball player in the universe. The fans complain about him. The media points at him when the Knicks struggle. And the referees NEVER give him a call, particularly at crunch time when Melo and the Knicks need it the most. 

And yet, Melo takes the abuse in stride. Always calm, collected and insightful during interviews. Always doing his best to smile and have fun while playing the game. Always willing to take the big shot, even if opposing defenses know the ball is going to be in his hands in an isolation scenario. 

You know what else I love? After Melo hit the halfcourt shot to end the first half of his 62-point game, I could see how much his teammates admired and looked up to him. The admiration was crystal clear. Even from a guy like Tyson Chandler, who already won a championship with the Dallas Mavs and has seen many spectacular performances in his career. He was in awe of what Melo was doing, and he was truly happy for his teammate and fellow leader. 

Michael Jordan. Stephon Marbury. Kobe Bryant. 

And now Carmelo Anthony. Number one in my book. 

Sunday, January 26, 2014

Super Bowl XLVIII: Johnny Fro Predicts the Winner of The Big Game

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The premier offensive team in the NFL, the Denver Broncos, will clash with the premier defensive team, the Seattle Seahawks, in America's most-watched and scrutinized yearly sporting event.

This is almost too good to be true for NFL marketing executives, right? David Stern got Heat/Spurs in last season's NBA Finals, another dream match-up...I'm starting to doubt the validity of these perfect storms. Anyway, lemme break down the Big Game for ya...

Section 1: "Comparative Shellshock"

Wait, you've never heard of Comparative Shellshock?

That's probably because I recently made it up. Comparative Shellshock is a sports/competition theory I've been mulling over throughout the season, which basically postulates the following: 

When an offense plays against two (or three or four, etc.) weak defensive teams in a row, it's extremely difficult to prepare for the speed, strength and skill of a top-tier defensive unit like the Seahawks, 49ers or Panthers. 

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The same goes for a defense. When a defense has to stop the Jaguars and Jets for a couple weeks, it becomes awfully difficult to simulate the advanced offensive play of the Broncos, Patriots or Packers (with Aaron Rodgers, of course). 

That being said, the Broncos are going to suffer through more severe Comparative Shellshock than the Seahawks in the Super Bowl.

Here's why: in the postseason, the Broncos offense has faced the Chargers and Patriots, arguably the worst two defensive teams in the playoffs. Now they have to face the Seahawks, the best defense in the game? It's impossible to simulate that game speed in practice. Peyton Manning and the boys are going to have to make some serious adjustments relative to the competition. 

Offensively, the Seahawks had to play against the 49ers in the NFC Championship, the second-best defensive team in the NFL. Now they'll face the Broncos defense sans Von Miller and Chris Harris, their best overall defensive player and best corner? No Comparative Shellshock there. It will be much easier for the Seahawks offense to move the ball against the Broncos than it was against the 49ers (unless the weather conditions are THAT bad. Then anything is possible). 

So, Section 1 goes to the Seahawks. 


Section 2: Vegas Knows.

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I know many people who simply refuse to believe this, but...Vegas knows. Trust me. They do. Just accept it and your sports-viewing life will be easier. 

With that in mind, the very first line for the Super Bowl was Seahawks -2. That means Vegas thinks the Seahawks are going to win the game straight up. But, as the legendary Alonzo Harris of "Training Day" said, "Shit gets deeper."

After opening at Seahawks -2, the line quickly moved to Broncos -2.5 (in less than 48 hours). So what does this rapid line movement tell us?

Not surprisingly, The Public likes the Broncos in the Super Bowl. The Public always likes big names (Peyton Manning) and high-octane offenses. But remember, Vegas still likes the Seahawks. How do we know? Because Seattle's line stopped at +2.5 and didn't go all the way to +3. Vegas knows they can split the action at +3, but they are staying at +2.5 to entice The Public to pound the Broncos. If you are loading up on the Broncos, this is what Vegas wants you to do. Don't fall for the Broncos at -2.5. Fun fact: The Public has lost in 21 out of the last 23 Super Bowls. See? Vegas knows. 

So clearly, Section 2 also goes to the Seahawks. 

Section 3: Which Team Is Actually Better?

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So clearly I'm buying half a point and taking the Seahawks at +3 because of Vegas and Comparative Shellshock. 

However, I do believe the Broncos are the best team in football. I don't think any of us have ever seen a passing attack as precise, consistent and explosive as this. Peyton Manning at the helm, the greatest statistical quarterback in the history of the game, with weapons like Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker, Wes Welker and Julius Thomas. How the hell do you match up with this team?

The answer is...you don't. Luckily for Pete Carroll and the Seahawks D, the Super Bowl weather conditions are expected to be conducive to "ground-and-pound," grind-it-out football. The Broncos will be effective with their quick, short passing game and Peyton's uncanny knowledge at the line, but the Seahawks will certainly run the ball better with Marshawn Lynch in full Beast Mode. 

This is going to be a close game. Don't ask me why, but I'm pretty confident the Seahawks will score a defensive touchdown in this one. 

All things considered (especially Vegas)...I'm going 27-24, Seattle Seahawks over the Denver Broncos. 

Good luck, everyone. 

Tuesday, January 7, 2014

NBA Top 10: The Most Undervalued Players In the Game

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In my opinion, the most important aspect of an NBA head coach's job is managing his rotation. That said, my following list identifies the most valuable players who are being underutilized by their coaches and/or under-appreciated by analysts and fans.

Let's get right to it...

10. Kris Humphries, PF, Boston Celtics:  Prior to his days as a Net, Humphries was often referred to as an underutilized frontcourt player with strong rebound-per-minute numbers. Then he came to the Nets, played well, got paid and the Kim Kardashian controversy began. Amidst the hoopla, he lost his passion for the game and subsequently lost his effectiveness. 

However, in his limited opportunities within Brad Stevens' rotation, "Hump" has showcased the energy, hustle, strength and rebounding ability that got him paid by the Nets. This year's Celtics aren't a particularly talented group, so they could use more of Hump's positive two-way contributions. 

9. Wes Johnson, SF, Los Angeles Lakers:  With half of Mike D'Antoni's team listed on the injury report, Wes has been able to lock down consistent playing time with the Lakers. What do I like about his game? He's the type of athletic, rangy small forward who would get a lot more attention on a contending team. 

Here's an obscure example: Remember Tariq Abdul-Wahad, the starting shooting guard who played in the Kings lineup with Mike Bibby, Peja Stojakovic, Chris Webber and Vlade Divac? At the time he was consistently referred to as, "The best on-ball perimeter defender in the league." That's because the Kings were an elite team at the time, and many of their games were nationally televised. 

Well, that's the kind of player Johnson is, but better. If he played for the Heat, Thunder or Spurs, you'd be hearing more about him. He's long, super athletic, versatile and explosive. Only negative is his perimeter shooting ability has actually declined since college. 

8. Dante Cunningham, F, Minnesota Timberwolves:  Dante is basically Wes Johnson, just physically stronger and a little better overall. I could definitely see him as a useful starting small forward on a number of other teams. He's stuck in a small forward logjam in Minnesota. 

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7. Tim Hardaway, Jr., G, New York Knicks:  Mike Woodson has to be one of the worst five head coaches in the NBA. Backcourt production has been a source of frustration for him throughout the season between Raymond Felton's injuries, JR Smith's brutally horrible play, Iman Shumpert's maddening inconsistency, Beno Udrih's limitations and Pablo Prigioni's mediocrity (at best). 

That being said, Tim Hardaway Jr. has been a bright spot whenever the opportunity has been presented to him. He's passionate and confident on the court, driving and shooting with conviction and decisiveness. Hardaway's treatment is yet another example of why the Knicks have the worst management in the league, possibly in all of professional sports. 

As a team going nowhere fast, why wouldn't you wanna start this kid and play him 28-38 minutes a night? Why wouldn't you want to develop one of your only decent, homegrown players? Why is it necessary to give minutes to washed up vets like Udrih and Prigioni?

The basketball logic simply isn't there. Woodson should be starting Hardaway, Shumpert, Carmelo Anthony, Andrea Bargnani and Tyson Chandler on a nightly basis. You have your two franchise players, Melo and Chandler (if Melo decides to hang around), two homegrown guys in Shump and Hardaway and one wild card in Bargnani. Anyway, Hardaway has been one of the only bright spots for New York's laughingstock of a basketball team. 

6. Anthony Morrow, SG, New Orleans Pelicans:  If you look at the numbers, this guy is one of the greatest three-point shooters in the history of the NBA. 

And yet, as the Pelicans continue to grind near the bottom of the Western Conference standings, head coach Monty Williams cannot seem to find minutes for this consistent sharpshooter. I used to like Monty Williams as a coach, but I've been very underwhelmed by him this season. He's failing to realize that without Ryan Anderson (severe injury), the Pelicans need floor spacing for Tyreke Evans and Anthony Davis. They also need the threat of the three-point line. 

Right now the Pelicans' offense is too one-dimensional. Morrow could be the answer to their scoring troubles. 

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5. Reggie Evans, PF, Brooklyn Nets:  Jason Kidd's Nets have been stinking up the joint for the vast majority of the season, and this guy can't seem to find any minutes? What the hell is going on here? Evans was a key contributor for the Nets last season when they were actually a playoff-caliber team. 

Simply put, Reggie Evans is one of the best rebounders of the last decade. Always in the right position, always boxing out and playing with maximum effort on both ends of the floor. When the Nets are stagnant (which unfortunately, has been quite often), Evans is the perfect player to call upon to create second-chance points and spark the sometimes-apathetic home crowd in Brooklyn. I think Kidd should start Evans and veteran swingman Andrei Kirilenko.

4. Gerald Green, SG/SF, Phoenix Suns:  What a bizarre career this explosive dunker has had. Drafted in the first round by the Boston Celtics, he never seemed to find his niche and eventually ended up in the NBDL for an extended stint. How a guy with this kind of athleticism and scoring ability could end up in the D-League, is beyond me. 

Gerald was rescued by my Nets a few seasons ago, and he responded in the second half of the season by becoming our second-best player after Deron Williams (Brook Lopez was out for the season). The Indiana Pacers took notice and signed him to a nice free agent deal, but once again he couldn't seem to find a role. But this season, in the same score-first bench role he played for the Nets, Green is thriving for Jeff Hornacek's Suns, who are one of the league's most pleasant surprises. 

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Gerald's a good kid who just wants the opportunity to show what he can do. I'm glad he's getting that opportunity once again in Phoenix. 

3. Ed Davis, PF, Memphis Grizzlies:  When this long, athletic power forward gets 25+ minutes a night, he's a legitimate double-double machine. I thought he'd explode in the absence of Marc Gasol, but he's still losing a lot of playing time to guys like Kosta Koufos and Jon Leuer. I think rookie head coach Dave Joerger should commit to starting Davis alongside Zach Randolph, particularly against the more athletic teams. In today's NBA, that includes almost every team. With the proper playing time we're talking about 16 points and 11 rebounds per game, in my opinion.

2. Nate Robinson, G, Denver Nuggets
1. Timofey Mozgov, C, Denver Nuggets

Notice any similarities here? The overarching problem is Brian Shaw.

Shaw has been viewed as a head coaching prospect for quite some time now, but he's severely mishandled his rotation during his rookie season as the commander of the Denver Nuggets. I've watched double-digit Nuggets games on NBA League Pass this year, and until their recent blowout of the Lakers (when he cut down on the rotation and played Robinson and Mozgov more), I noticed Shaw's team running into the same roadblock every, single game -- they couldn't close effectively because he had the wrong players on the floor. 

Every game had the same script...the Nuggets would be right in it for three quarters, then the fourth would roll around and everyone would stand around expecting Ty Lawson to create everything. There are two problems with that strategy: (1) That's too much responsibility for Lawson, and he doesn't always want it, and (2) Denver's offense was so stagnant, predictable and easy to stop. So where do Nate-Rob and Mozgov come in?

Well, throughout his career, Robinson has consistently been one of the most undervalued players in the NBA. He is a good ballhandler, excellent playmaker and shot creator, and he has the unshakable confidence that I've only seen in the likes of megastars like Michael Jordan and Kobe Bryant. You will never have to worry about Nate-Rob losing faith in his own ability. The kid is a warrior and he's always made big shots when given the opportunity (just ask the Nets about their playoff series against the Bulls last year). Brian Shaw is just starting to realize that he needs Robinson's explosiveness and playmaking ability. 

But people know about Nate Robinson, that's why he's #2 on my list. 

Timofey Mozgov, on the other hand, is a little known player. You probably won't believe me when I tell you that he's one of the most skilled big men in the world. I'm really not kidding. 

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Mozgov has raw size (7-1, 250 lbs) but he's incredibly athletic considering his stature. He runs the floor extremely well and is highly effective at both ends. He has the most underrated and overlooked low post footwork in the game, with the ability to finish beautifully with both hands. He's also shooting 72.5% from the free throw line, while other young bigs like DeAndre Jordan and Andre Drummond are bricking freebies in the 40% range. 

Mozgov could be a low post superstar if he played in an era where the guards stayed committed to getting the ball into the paint. He's that good. I think Shaw's beginning to realize what he has in Mozgov as well. He and Robinson should both be starting for the Nuggets. Maybe then, they'd get back in contention.

HONORABLE MENTION

Terrence Jones, F, Houston Rockets:  Starting to get some love; I don't think he's as undervalued as he was earlier in the season.

Will Bynum, G, Detroit Pistons:  Always puts up nice numbers when given the opportunity; never gets a consistent opportunity unless teammates are injured. 

Marreese Speights, PF/C, Golden State Warriors:  Started off undervalued by Mark Jackson, but has since earned the minutes he deserves. May have something to do with the Jermaine O'Neal injury. 

Tony Wroten, G, Philadelphia 76ers:  One of the quickest guards in the league. Needs to play alongside MCW consistently. 

Andrei Kirilenko, SF, Brooklyn Nets:  Since his return the Nets have played with better energy, continuity and success. 

Monday, January 6, 2014

Quarterback Power Rankings: Brady, Rodgers or Manning? An Impossible Question

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Earlier this season I ranked all of the relevant NFL quarterbacks and wondered if Tom Brady's skills were finally eroding. I suggested that perhaps the absence of playmakers like Rob Gronkowski, Danny Amendola and Shane Vereen was to blame for his erratic play, and that hypothesis was proven correct by Brady's tremendous second half. I had him ranked seventh in the first edition, but I'm sure he'll move up this time around.

I should probably wait until after the Super Bowl to write this article, but I'll lose the inspiration once the season ends. Numbers 30 down to 11 will be listed, while 10 down to #1 will have paragraph explanations. That being said here...we...go.

TIER 5

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30. Geno Smith, New York Jets
29. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Tennessee Titans
28. EJ Manuel, Buffalo Bills
27. Chad Henne, Jacksonville Jaguars
26. Sam Bradford, St. Louis Rams
25. Mike Glennon, Tampa Bay Bucs

TIER 4

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24. Robert Griffin III, Washington Redskins
23. Eli Manning, New York Giants
22. Jake Locker, Tennessee Titans
21. Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins
20. Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals
19. Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals

TIER 3

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18. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens
17. Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs
16. Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears
15. Josh McCown, Chicago Bears
14. Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers
13. Nick Foles, Philadelphia Eagles

TIER 2

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12. Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions
11. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons

10. Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts (Was #5):  Didn't have a spectacular season (87.0 QB Rating, only 13th in passing yards) but he's difficult to evaluate without Reggie Wayne. Luck has great mobility and all-around playmaking ability. He's also a tough, gritty kid. 

9. Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys (Was #4):  All he needed to do was hold on to a huge lead against Matt Flynn. But hey, it's Tony Romo. Of course he blew it. Two late picks resulting in total devastation, then the inability to play in the finale due to injury. Had another solid statistical year but he can't be any higher than this. 

8. Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (Was #11):  Kap's a fearless competitor who is already developing a reputation as a postseason star. We'll see if Michael Crabtree's return to health will allow the 49ers to squeak by the Seahawks in the NFC Championship. 

7. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints (Was #3):  This guy looks like a combination of Peyton Manning and Philip Rivers at home, and a combination of Kellen Clemens and Matt Cassel on the road. I cannot believe how poorly he is playing on the road. His pathetic play is bordering on appalling. However, he still finished with a strong overall quarterback rating of 104.7. 

6. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers (Was #12):  Once Le'Veon Bell took the field for Todd Haley's offense, Big Ben settled in to a very comfortable groove. He's a warrior and one of the elite crunch time players in the NFL. I'd take him as my quarterback and teammate any day of the week. 

5. Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers (Was #10):  Comeback Player of the Year? After two shaky seasons that indicated a downward career spiral, Philip "The Best" Rivers (ridiculous nickname courtesy of Pete Kirby aka "The Bulldog") bounced back with a tremendous 2013 campaign. He cut down on the turnovers and looked like a more skilled version of Alex Smith, who also had an excellent season. 

4. Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks (Was #6):  Peyton Manning is going to run away with the MVP award, but this guy's my runner-up (slightly ahead of Jamaal Charles). Few people seem to realize how thin Seattle's receiving corps is -- Percy Harvin never got healthy, Sidney Rice is out for the season and the Golden Tate/Doug Baldwin 1-2 punch is hardly elite-level. Wilson does it all. Elusive inside the pocket, phenomenal outside of the pocket, great all-around instincts and a versatile pure passer. What a pleasure to watch. 

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TIER 1

3. Tom Brady, New England Patriots (Was #7):  Welcome back to the top three, Tom. You moved back up here when you shocked, stunned and dismayed the Broncos in the second half of that classic comeback. 

2. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers (Was #2):  In any other era, he'd be the best quarterback in the league. Ridiculous stats, cannon arm, great mobility, good awareness and a propensity for the big play -- just ask the Chicago Bears about their crushed postseason hopes. 

1. Peyton Manning, Denver Broncos (Was #1):  What really needs to be said here? No. 18 probably put together the greatest statistical season of all time. He knows how to spread the ball around and utilize Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker, Wes Welker, Julius Thomas and Knowshon Moreno efficiently and effectively. Give one of the premier quarterbacks of all time talent like that, and this is what he does with it. Just an incredible individual year. 

Friday, January 3, 2014

Johnny Fro's Favorite Movies of All Time

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I know this is John Frascella Sports, but I've decided to expand to movies. In this installment, I'll be listing my favorite movies of all time, by category. Please note that "favorite" doesn't mean "best." A film can be truly great (9/10 or even 10/10) but have low replay value. For many of us, our favorite movies are those we can watch over and over and over again. 

Often these films with low replay value are either (A) too long or (B) too heavy. One viewing is sufficient in some instances. Feel free to comment or debate as you read along. So, without further ado...

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DRAMAS

1. GoodFellas
2. Training Day
3. The Shawshank Redemption
4. Inglourious Basterds
5. Crash
6. Mr. Holland's Opus
7. All the President's Men
8. Good Will Hunting
9. A Few Good Men
10. Forrest Gump

Honorable Mention:  American Beauty, Glory, The Godfather, City of God, Braveheart, Sideways, A Bronx Tale, Gone Baby Gone, 25th Hour and Mystic River.

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COMEDIES

In this category, it's difficult to differentiate between comedies, romantic comedies and romances. I believe the following list of "Comedies" were written more for the laughs than the inherent romances. My top choice really walks the line...

1. Knocked Up
2. The 40-Year Old Virgin
3. The Hangover
4. Happy Gilmore
5. Meet the Parents
6. Wedding Crashers
7. Forgetting Sarah Marshall
8. Wanderlust
9. Men In Black
10. Tommy Boy

Honorable Mention:  My Cousin Vinny, Analyze This, Office Space, Anchorman, The Grand, The Other Guys, Step Brothers, 21 Jump Street, The Hangover Part II and Vegas Vacation.

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ROMANTIC COMEDIES

1. Almost Famous...this was a tough one to categorize. I almost placed it under Dramas, but I don't think that's quite right.
2. [500] Days of Summer
3. Shakespeare in Love
4. Definitely, Maybe
5. Vicky Cristina Barcelona
6. Midnight in Paris
7. Juno
8. Hitch
9. Clueless
10. Love, Actually

Honorable Mention:  Pretty Woman, Crazy Stupid Love, 50 First Dates, The Holiday and When Harry Met Sally.

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SPORTS

1. Moneyball
2. Cinderella Man
3. Jerry Maguire
4. Bull Durham
5. 61
6. Major League
7. He Got Game
8. Hoop Dreams (documentary)
9. Remember the Titans
10. All In: The Poker Movie (documentary)

Honorable Mention:  Harvard Beats Yale 19-19 (documentary), Any Given Sunday, Cool Runnings, White Men Can't Jump and Blue Chips.

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CHILDHOOD

1. The Wizard of Oz
2. Home Alone
3. Aladdin
4. Little Giants
5. Toy Story
6. Home Alone 2: Lost In New York
7. The Parent Trap
8. Rookie of the Year
9. The Adventures of Robin Hood
10. The Sandlot

Honorable Mention:  Beauty and the Beast, Angels in the Outfield, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2: The Secret of the Ooze, Dunston Checks In and Peter Pan.

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ACTION

1. Independence Day
2. Sin City
3. I, Robot
4. Tombstone (since I will not have a "Western" category)
5. Face/Off
6. Die Hard: With a Vengeance
7. Jurassic Park
8. The Matrix
9. The Fugitive
10. 300

Honorable Mention:  The Negotiator, Spider-Man 2, Enemy of the State, The Dark Knight and Raiders of the Lost Ark.

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SUSPENSE/HORROR

1. Rear Window (the original, directed by Alfred Hitchcock and starring Jimmy Stewart)
2. Se7en
3. Cloverfield
4. Shutter Island
5. World War Z

Honorable Mention: Poltergeist, Signs, Arlington Road, The Birds and Strangers on a Train.

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"CREW"

These are the films I've watched most often with my best friends. It began as a list of five with two honorable mentions, but Jimmy Kelly suggested I expand it to 10. Shout to Jelly!

1. Rounders
2. Major League 2
3. Blue Streak
4. Boiler Room
5. Fight Club
6. The Social Network
7. The Fast and the Furious
8. The Boondock Saints
9. 3 Ninjas
10. Dumb and Dumber

Honorable Mention:  Black Sheep, Finding Forrester, Air Force One, The Last Samurai and Snatch. 

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SLEEPERS

Enjoyable films that haven't received enough credit. 

1. Game Change
2. Lucky Number Slevin
3. 50/50
4. The Terminal
5. Thank You For Smoking
6. Stranger Than Fiction
7. Stay (starring Ryan Gosling)
8. Before Sunset (also Before Sunrise and Before Midnight)
9. Insomnia
10. The Sessions

Honorable Mention:  The Ox-Bow Incident, The New World, Running Scared (starring Paul Walker), Shattered Glass, Promised Land, Everybody's Fine, Find Me Guilty, Just Looking, Defending Your Life, Going the Distance, Adventureland, Away We Go, Little Manhattan and Dan In Real Life.

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COPS AND ROBBERS

This category was a late request by Donald J. Toby aka "Captain Live." This one's for you, Donny J. Please note that the following cop films have already been ranked in other categories, therefore they will not be included a second time:  Training Day, I Robot, Die Hard With a Vengeance, The Fugitive, The Negotiator, Se7en, Blue Streak and Insomnia. 

Here's my favorites of the leftovers:

1. The Town
2. The Departed
3. The Usual Suspects
4. Catch Me If You Can
5. L.A. Confidential
6. Inside Man
7. The Untouchables
8. American Gangster
9. Rush Hour
10. Die Hard (the original)

Honorable Mention:  In the Line of Fire, Naked Gun, Out of Sight, Bad Boys and Out of Time.

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SCIENCE FICTION

This category was a late request by Mr. Tim Ehrens (aka "T-Bone"), a former colleague of mine at The Daily Campus, UConn's favorite newspaper. I'm hardly a Sci-Fi expert, so please forgive me if I'm stretching with some of the following selections:

1. Donnie Darko
2. The Prestige
3. Minority Report
4. E.T. 
5. Knowing
6. K-Pax
7. Terminator 2: Judgment Day
8. Back to the Future
9. Inception
10. Star Wars

Honorable Mention:  The Matrix Reloaded, Batteries Not Included, Armageddon, War of the Worlds and Twelve Monkeys. 

And that's that. Feel free to continue commenting and debating!